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A strange serial of mass deaths among gray whales in the northeasterly Pacific Ocean may in conclusion have an explanation , with scientist linking Arctic ocean ice spirit level to the major die - off result .

Three fatality rate events have affect grey whales ( Eschrichtius robustus ) living off the seashore of North America since the 1980s , reducing the population by 15 % to 25 % each time , according to a new study . In total , more than 2,000 grey-haired whales are known to have break down . The first mass die - off took place between 1987 and 1989 and was the largest in order of magnitude , killing at least 700 whales . Reporting structures and survey efforts only inflate in the 1990s , however , signify the number of strandings associated with this mortality event could be an underestimate , according to the study . The second took position between 1999 and 2000,killing 651 giant .

A beached gray whale in Baja California Sur in Mexico.

A dead grey whale (Eschrichtius robustus) on the beach near the town of San Juanico in Baja California Sur, Mexico.

The tardy dice - off lead off in 2019 and sawmore than 70 gray whales wash off up deadin just six months . It is on-going and — as of Sept. 26 , 2023 — a total of688 hulk have die . What caused each of the case was ill-defined .

" These are extreme population swing that we did not await to see in a great , long - lived coinage like gray-headed whales , " study track authorJoshua Stewart , an adjunct prof at Oregon State University ’s Marine Mammal Institute , said in astatement .

Related : Could an impending cost increase in solar storms do more giant to strand ?

a pack of orcas

Commercial whaling until the mid-20th one C drive the population of North Pacific gray whales to near - quenching , but it has since bounced back and presently numerate around 14,500 soul , allot to the argument . Scientists previously thought this successful convalescence meant the whales were pall off sporadically as their number exceeded what their home ground and prey could provide for .

But changing conditions and fluctuating sea ice layer in the Arctic may better explain what the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA ) term " strange mortality events , " harmonize to the raw survey , published Oct. 12 in the journalScience .

Sea frappe cover and the amount of nutrient available for gray whales may prescribe how the universe fares . Higher - than - usual ice cover in some twelvemonth may block enactment to the Bering and Chukchi sea , where the whale spend the summertime months feasting on fatty crustaceans before migrating southward again . " When the accessibility of their quarry in the Arctic is low and the whales can not attain their feeding area because of ocean ice , the gray giant population experiences rapid and major shock , " Stewart said .

A photo of dead trees silhouetted against the sunset

Gray whales quickly rebounded from the first two fatality rate events . But the most late dice - off is on-going since 2019 and has cast us into " unmapped territory , " Stewart pronounce .

Unlike the two previous issue , ahistoric loss of Arctic ocean icecould be to blame for the latest gray-headed hulk die - off . That ’s because sea methamphetamine hydrochloride host a rug of alga on its underside , which decays and showers the seabed with solid food for bottom - dwellers , including the whales ' preferred crustaceans .

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An aerial photograph of a polar bear standing on sea ice.

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" With less sparkler , you get less algae , which is worse for the gray whale target , " Stewart said . Melting sea ice also frees up transit for strong currents that sweep away the sediment and leave bottom - dwell crustaceans and other creatures roofless . " All of these factors are converge to reduce the calibre and availableness of the food [ gray whale ] rely on , " he said .

A polar bear standing on melting Arctic ice in Russia as the sun sets.

Climate changemight be the rationality this mortality consequence is dredge on for longer than the previous two , Stewart said . " What we ’re seeing is much more of a bumpy ride in response to highly varying and rapidly changing ocean circumstance , " he said .

While climate variety could mean there is less food for gray whale , it probably wo n’t put the northeast Pacific population at risk of exposure of extinction , Stewart said . But " an Arctic Ocean that has warmed significantly may not be able to support 25,000 gray whales like it has in the late past , " he added .

The Ilulissat Icefjord in Greenland on July 3, 2024. The glacier is calving enough ice daily to meet New York City�s water needs for an entire year.

A GOES-East satellite image of the continental U.S. taken during the winter storm on Feb. 19.

A humpback whale breaches out of the water

A photograph of a humpback whale breaking the surface of the water to feed in Chile.

Southern right whales; a mother and calf swim beside each other.

A photograph of a humpback whale in the ocean

A photo of the underside of a Bryde�s whale surrounded by fish

Composite image (left) picture of severed whale tail (right) aerial image of a humpback whale missing its signature tail fluke in the ocean

Fragment of a stone with relief carving in the ground

An illustration of microbiota in the gut

an illustration of DNA

images showing auroras on Jupiter

An image of the Eagle Nebula, a cluster of young stars.

a reconstruction of an early reptile