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While searching the Vatican ’s diachronic record book , a geologist made a surprisal discovery : a note in a Jewish prayer book describing a swarm of previously unknown earthquakes in 15th century Italy . Seismologists say the discovery could help presage earthquakes today .

Paolo Galli , an seism expert who works for Italy ’s Department of Civil Protection , tell Live Science that the prayer record book , written in a medieval build of Hebrew , had been copied in the Apennine Ithiel Town of Camerino in 1446 .

A handwritten note was found in a Jewish prayer book copied in 1446. It describes the devastation wrought by a series of earthquakes that struck the town of Camerino that year.

The handwritten note was found in a Jewish prayer book copied in 1446. It describes the devastation wrought by a series of earthquakes that struck the town of Camerino that year.

A flyleaf of the prayer book contained a handwritten eminence , in all probability from the same year , describing a swarm of earthquakes that had hit the region over several months , causing many houses in Camerino and nearby settlements to collapse , he said .

Galli was searching theVatican Libraryfor historical records from 1456 , when a region farther to the south had been impinge on by a late cloud of earthquakes . or else , his searches turn up the annotation , also written in Hebrew , that described the earlier quake swarm .

" While I was searching for news concerning one of the most catastrophic series of earthquakes in Italy , in 1456 … by chance I found an nameless manuscript plow with an nameless earthquake that occurred far north 10 long time before , in 1446 , " Galli compose in an email .

Photo of the town of Camerino in Italy’s Apennine Mountains with snow on the hillside and the town in the green valley below.

The town of Camerino in Italy’s Apennine Mountains was known to be the site of a devastating swarm of earthquakes in 1456. But the series of earthquakes 10 years earlier was not known about before.

His sketch on the note was publish Nov. 1 in the journalSeismological Research Letters .

Medieval earthquakes

The late earthquake swarm is well known ; of about 450 documented seism observations from Italy in the 15th 100 , roughly half are from the 1456 serial of quakes . Galli said these observations let in a treatise on the earthquakes written by the notable Florentine scholarGiannozzo Manetti , but the descriptions hold back very few technical detail , such as the locations of the earthquake epicenters and , therefore , their seismal sources .

After notice the Jewish prayer Holy Writ in the Vatican Library earlier this year , Galli realized he needed specialists to translate it from knightly Hebrew .

The translated description of the 1446 swarm was " extremely brief , but vivid and full of pathos , " he say . " In just eight line , the chronicler tell us that the numerous earthquake from March to August had brought down many houses in Camerino , as well as in several other settlements around it . 100 of survivors moved from the country to Camerino , to aid the people there and contribute them wine , food and all the supplies they had saved from the ruins . "

A smoking volcanic crater at Campi Flegrei in Italy.

Helping survivors

The note goes on to say that the region ’s Judaic people especially help fellow Jews affect by the earthquakes , following the Hebrew enounce that " all of Israel are Friend ' ( " chaverim kol Yisrael " in Hebrew ) .

sealed technical detail of the earthquake can be deduced from the description , Galli sound out , including that their chroma at their epicenter must have been about 8 on theModified Mercalli Intensity weighing machine , which runs from 1 — where the seism is so small , it is seldom even felt — to 10 for the most extreme quake .

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The 1446 temblor swarm likely had the same extraction as an even later one that occurred in the Camerino realm in 1799 , he said . Knowledge of the past can help mod seismologists sympathize the seismic hazard of a realm , which is base on the dispersion and frequency of historical earthquake .

Artist�s evidence-based depiction of the blast, which had the power of 1,000 Hiroshimas.

As a solvent , hoard a full record of past temblor can help inform predictions . " Even a single new entry in the catalogue , like this one , help us to sympathize the seismic wheel fall out in each different realm , " Galli said .

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